{"id":487,"date":"2024-03-29T13:39:10","date_gmt":"2024-03-29T19:39:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.barleyservices.biz\/wordpress\/?p=487"},"modified":"2024-03-29T13:39:10","modified_gmt":"2024-03-29T19:39:10","slug":"trumps-prospects","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.barleyservices.biz\/wordpress\/?p=487","title":{"rendered":"Trump&#8217;s Prospects"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s a little awe-inspiring to see how Trump vanquished his opposition in the Republican primary. One might think that he had lost his credibility with his meekly-conservative presidency and his total abandonment of the J6 prisoners.\u00a0 But the voters have gone for him in droves in the primaries, and here we are.<\/p>\n<p>One theory, and it convinces me, is that the Republicans are angry over the lawfare being waged against Trump, so they&#8217;re supporting him in reaction.\u00a0 If true, it doesn&#8217;t speak well of the MAGA voters.\u00a0 But when has anyone spoken well of them?<\/p>\n<p>DeSantis&#8217;s positions were <em>at least<\/em> as good as Trump&#8217;s (from a MAGA perspective), but he could gain no momentum.\u00a0 Trump generates enthusiasm.\u00a0 It was when I saw the rallies in 2016 that I decided that he could very well beat Hillary, despite her 98% favorable rating in the polls.\u00a0 I said to myself and a couple of friends, &#8220;They&#8217;re not telling us the truth.&#8221; But as I wrote earlier, Trump squeaked to a victory by carrying some blue-collar districts that normally went Democrat.\u00a0 I&#8217;d say he captured their imagination.<\/p>\n<p>Trump wins through gasbaggery.\u00a0 Someone in the New York scene said back in 2016, paraphrasing an old piece of sales advice, that Trump would sell the sizzle when he didn&#8217;t even have any steak!\u00a0 He hammered his &#8220;build a wall and make Mexico pay for it&#8221; at every single rally he he held.\u00a0 Ted Cruz warned us that he didn&#8217;t mean it and wasn&#8217;t going to do it. [Cruz speaks generally on Trump&#8217;s pathological lying <a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/Bz44wKKQJh0?si=wLAPu6g2hZ6OBS4P&amp;t=99\">here<\/a>.]<\/p>\n<p>Those who remember the 2016 campaign can listen to Trump give a speech now and hear the same old gasbaggery, one promise after another about things he could have done the first time.\u00a0 And, for what it&#8217;s worth, we hear the same enthusiastic responses from the audience, whose shortness of memory is a thing to behold.\u00a0 Still, it isn&#8217;t the ten thousand in the audience who will decide which way the election goes. A huge rally represents only a tiny percentage of the voters.<\/p>\n<p>The Dims seem intent, kamikaze-like, to ride the Biden-Harris ticket all the way down.\u00a0 That&#8217;s got to help Trump.\u00a0 Now RFK, Jr. is in the race with a running mate who offers everything Biden-Harris can&#8217;t, so he&#8217;s bound to hurt Biden, which will help Trump.<\/p>\n<p>But I think, personally, that Trump can&#8217;t generate the former enthusiasm again.\u00a0 Multitudes of his first voters who were elderly are now dead, and there&#8217;s little indication that he&#8217;s picked up many of the new ones who have reached voting age.\u00a0 Another big chunk of his former voters are now singing &#8220;Won&#8217;t Get Fooled Again.&#8221; He barely had enough in 2016; he doesn&#8217;t have as many now.<\/p>\n<p>The 2020 election was rigged &#8212; not in the\u00a0<em>2,000 Mules<\/em> way, but through collusion between the mass media and social media to violate free speech standards and to lie about it the whole time, which qualifies\u00a0<em>de facto<\/em> as election interference.\u00a0 They can do it again, and I expect that they will.<\/p>\n<p>These things combined give me little hope that Trump can overthrow the Dims.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s a little awe-inspiring to see how Trump vanquished his opposition in the Republican primary. One might think that he had lost his credibility with his meekly-conservative presidency and his total abandonment of the J6 prisoners.\u00a0 But the voters have gone for him in droves in the primaries, and here we are. One theory, and &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.barleyservices.biz\/wordpress\/?p=487\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Trump&#8217;s Prospects&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-487","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p45dxY-7R","_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.barleyservices.biz\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/487","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.barleyservices.biz\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.barleyservices.biz\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.barleyservices.biz\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.barleyservices.biz\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=487"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/www.barleyservices.biz\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/487\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":488,"href":"http:\/\/www.barleyservices.biz\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/487\/revisions\/488"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.barleyservices.biz\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=487"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.barleyservices.biz\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=487"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.barleyservices.biz\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=487"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}